Are LLM Belief Updates Consistent with Bayes’ Theorem?
Published in ICML 2025 Workshop on Assessing World Models., 2025
This paper evaluates whether large language models (LLMs) update their beliefs over propositions in a Bayesian-consistent manner as they scale in size and capability.
Recommended citation: Sohaib Imran, Ihor Kendiukhov, Matthew Broerman, Aditya Thomas, Riccardo Campanella, Rob Lamb, Peter M. Atkinson.
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